DNC Chair Outlook
Jerome over at MyDD has a great post on this as well, but I will offer my two cents as well.
From where it stands right now, there really is no front runner. A Hotline poll a few weeks ago showed Dean with 47%. But, from what I understand, you need a majority to win. At the time, when Vilsack was still in, he was #2. Now, of course, he is out, and there are other candidates trying to pick up the anti-Dean movement.
The most ardent anti-Dean is probably Martin Frost. I really don't think its a good idea to elect a DNC Chair who lost to Pete Sessions on November 2 by twenty points. Frost is a moderate who already lost to Pelosi for minority leader a few years ago. He is not the future of the party. We should urge Frost to continue to be involved in Democratic politics, but it shouldn't be as DNC Chair. He has not shown the leadership, the organizational skills or the vision to do so.
My three favorite candidates are Howard Dean, Donnie Fowler and Simon Rosenberg. Rosenberg recently picked up a warm endorsement for second choice (behind Dean) from DailyKos. Dean is the overwhelming favorite of the net roots, but we will have to see how that works out. Fowler has the rhetoric (and some damn good ideas) but does he have the name I.D. neccesary? No one knows who the hell McAullife is, but maybe that's part of the problem. Do we need a more vocal and recognizable chair? If so, the choice is probably Howard Dean, though the prospect of a Dean-Rosenberg split (which has been gossiped about) is intriguing.
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